PONTOISE, France — Within the city of Pontoise, which gently slopes upward from the Oise River about 15 miles northeast of Paris, Mayor Stéphanie Von Euw is laser-focused on her new vaccination middle — a blocky, sand-colored leisure facility the place as much as 450 photographs are administered day by day to these over 75 or in any other case at excessive danger.
Ms. Von Euw was energetic on a latest go to, chatting with medical doctors and vaccine recipients. However right here in Pontoise, as in lots of different components of France, there isn’t any hiding winter of pandemic doldrums has set in.
“To maintain my chin up, I attempt to observe this rule: I take in the future at a time,” Ms. Von Euw mentioned throughout a desk coated with chocolate containers left by latest vaccine recipients. “If I look to the long run, I lose myself.”
Caught between an infection charges that stay stubbornly excessive regardless of months of economically damaging restrictions and a slow-moving vaccine rollout, there’s a rising and glum sense in France that the nation’s battle in opposition to the pandemic has stalled.
Final month, the nation was bracing for a 3rd nationwide lockdown when President Emmanuel Macron unexpectedly determined in opposition to it. He made a calculated gamble that he might tighten restrictions simply sufficient to stave off a brand new surge of virus instances whereas avoiding the heavier financial and social toll of extra drastic measures like these presently in pressure in Germany or Britain.
Weeks later, it’s nonetheless unclear whether or not that guess will repay or if, as some well being consultants have warned, there may be little likelihood of containing the unfold with no strict lockdown.
The typical variety of day by day infections, at about 20,000, has neither spiked nor fallen a lot over the previous month. However extra contagious variants from different components of the world are spreading.
Arnaud Fontanet, an epidemiologist on the Institut Pasteur who can also be a member of the federal government’s Covid-19 advisory council, mentioned on Sunday that the possibilities of containing the epidemic with no tight lockdown are skinny.
“Every thing will rely upon our skill to regulate the unfold of the British variant,” Mr. Fontanet informed the Journal du Dimanche. “If we wait too lengthy, we might be taken without warning by the epidemic’s acceleration.”
Hospitalizations are secure however nonetheless at excessive ranges, with about 28,000 Covid-19 sufferers throughout the nation, together with about three,300 taking over greater than half of the capability in intensive care models.
Some consultants mentioned they fear plateau in an infection numbers at these increased ranges leaves little room to maneuver if hospitals face a brand new spike in instances.
The federal government is projecting optimism, and the well being minister even informed Franceinfo radio on Tuesday that the nation may not need to go beneath lockdown ever once more. However the public’s temper is considered one of uncertainty.
“There may be plenty of wavering,” mentioned Odile Essombé-Missé, 79, who was standing in line on the vaccination middle in Pontoise for her 85-year-old husband’s injection. Requested a few new lockdown, she simply shrugged.
“We put up with it,” she mentioned lastly, along with her eyeglasses, perched atop a colourful blue and orange face masks, fogged over.
Mr. Macron has vowed that every one adults who wish to get vaccines could be supplied them by summer season’s finish.
Greater than 2.2 million out of France’s inhabitants of 67 million have obtained a minimum of one dose to date, and almost 250,000 have been absolutely vaccinated. However with three.1 doses administered per 100 folks, in keeping with a New York Occasions database, France nonetheless trails neighbors like Italy or Spain.
“We might double, even triple the rhythm,” Ms. Von Euw mentioned, if her middle have been allotted extra provide of vaccines.
However the European Union has struggled in latest weeks to safe a gentle provide of doses. The French authorities has managed to open up a promising 1.7 million new appointment slots within the coming weeks as deliveries roll in.
“I’m not but immune, however I’m nonetheless reassured,” mentioned Eliane Coudert, an 80-year-old retiree who had come from the neighboring city of Éragny to Pontoise for her shot. She was sitting patiently with a handful of newly inoculated companions in a small ready space, the place medical doctors monitor for hostile side-effects.
Ms. Coudert, who’s diabetic, mentioned she was decided to get vaccinated so she might see her great-granddaughters once more.
“I see them a bit outdoors,” she mentioned. “However we are able to’t kiss one another.”
France has been beneath an evening curfew since mid-January and eating places, cafes, museums or film theaters are closed, turning even the liveliest of French cities into ghost cities after 6 p.m.
So in some methods, the vaccination middle — the place the native Rotary Membership typically brings croissants and different pastries — represented a much-needed social outing for seniors who’ve spent weeks or months in near-isolation.
“The restrictions imposed by social distancing are beginning to exasperate everybody,” mentioned Dr. Edouard Devaud, an infectious ailments specialist on the Centre Hospitalier René-Dubos, the primary hospital in Pontoise. “There isn’t any speck of sunshine on the finish of the tunnel.”
Variants of the virus, primarily the British one, now account for one in seven of each new an infection. Some areas, just like the Paris area, have reported even increased proportions. However the nation’s an infection numbers have in any other case remained frustratingly secure.
Dr. Devaud mentioned the typical variety of Covid-19 sufferers in his unit — about 5 to 10, plus one other dozen in intensive care — was utterly manageable to date thanks to higher understanding and therapy of the illness.
However the prospect of a brand new lockdown worries him.
After the primary lockdown final spring canceled all non-urgent care, medical doctors have been alarmed to see the implications of deferred therapy, like deteriorating cancers.
Well being professionals have additionally seen an elevated incidence of younger folks with extreme psychological well being points.
“So we have to get out of this pandemic,” Dr. Devaud mentioned.